Example 1. The system sends a signal to the opening position.
Your actions are:
a) You accept the signal and the transaction is defined as a potentially profitable. As a result of the transaction you are making a profit and a positive experience: in order to follow the signals of the system it is necessary to keep the probabilities on your side. The trader begins to have more trust in the system. Errors are absent.
b) You receive a signal and the transaction is defined as a potentially profitable. As a result of the transaction you have lost your money, but got the experience: Losing is a part of the business transaction, it is impossible to make a profit with each transaction. Although the deal was losing money, the trader continues to believe in yourself and your system. His confidence in his system remains. Errors are absent.
a) The signal is not passed, it seemed to you that the transaction will not be profitable, but it was contrary profitable. Here the result of the transaction is negative. A trader receives a negative experience: I am constantly committing losing trades and often miss the lucrative. As a result, the trader confidence in himself is lost. You made the following error: You should always open transactions when the system sends a signal, but you did not do it.
g) The signal is not passed, it seemed to you that the transaction will not be profitable. In this case, the result of the transaction rather negative. A trader receives a negative experience: I am better in the economic analysis than my system. This will affect the future work of the trader, though he subconsciously, but will consider each of his deal, regardless of the signal system. This can have disastrous effects on your confidence in the system. Perfect error: You did not accept the deal when the system has given you a signal.
Example 2. The system does not give the signal to open positions.
Your actions are:
a) The position is not opened. Here the outcome is neutral. A trader receives a positive experience: We must open positions only when the system sends a signal that the probability is on your side. You increased confidence in yourself and your trading system. Errors are absent.
b) The position is opened. The deal is profitable. This drastically can affect your trading strategy further. A trader can start to think: “Why do I need a system, because I’m smarter than it is.” After that he starts trading relying only on himself. As a result, it is completely ceased to use the system which in most cases leads to bankruptcy. The error is: “Opening a position there is no signal of the system.”
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